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This paper introduces Kernel-WIS, a new estimator for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits that improves upon weighted importance sampling by combining its bounded variance with the linearity of vanilla methods. The approach offers asymptotic consistency and robustness against behavior policy miss-specification using only offline data, addressing critical challenges in reliable AI decision-making systems.
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Kernel weighted importance sampling for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits

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arXiv:2607.15067v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This article presents a novel estimator for performing off-policy evaluation using only offline data for contextual bandits. The proposed estimator, Kernel-WIS is demonstrated to be asymptotically consistent and to empirically outperform strong baselines (including weighted importance sampling), particularly under behaviour policy miss-specification. The benefit of Kernel-WIS is derived from combining the bounded property of weighted importance sampling with the linearity of vanilla importance sampling.

Abstract:This article presents a novel estimator for performing off-policy evaluation using only offline data for contextual bandits. The proposed estimator, Kernel-WIS is demonstrated to be asymptotically consistent and to empirically outperform strong baselines (including weighted importance sampling), particularly under behaviour policy miss-specification. The benefit of Kernel-WIS is derived from combining the bounded property of weighted importance sampling with the linearity of vanilla importance sampling.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2607.15067 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2607.15067v2 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.15067 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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