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This paper presents a theoretical model analyzing how endogeneity in skill development and AI unreliability can trigger a productivity paradox where increased AI assistance degrades overall output. It further investigates the long-term emergence of skill polarization under specific effort-skill non-monotonicity conditions, offering interpretable measures for when these negative dynamics occur.
Human-AI Productivity Paradoxes: Modeling the Interplay of Skill, Effort, and AI Assistance
arXiv:2605.11350v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools are rapidly adopted in the workplace and in education, yet the empirical evidence on AI's impact remains mixed across different operating contexts. We propose a model of human-AI interaction to better understand and analyze several mechanisms by which AI affects productivity. In our setting, human agents with varying skill levels exert utility-maximizing effort to produce certain task outcomes with AI assistance. We find that incorporating endogeneity in skill development or AI unreliability can induce a productivity paradox: increased levels of AI assistance may degrade productivity, leading to potentially significant shortfalls. We construct interpretable measures that characterize when the productivity paradox occurs. Moreover, we examine the long-term distributional effect of AI on skill, and demonstrate that skill polarization can emerge in steady state. We identify an effort-skill non-monotonicity condition under which skill polarization emerges.
Abstract:Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools are rapidly adopted in the workplace and in education, yet the empirical evidence on AI's impact remains mixed across different operating contexts. We propose a model of human-AI interaction to better understand and analyze several mechanisms by which AI affects productivity. In our setting, human agents with varying skill levels exert utility-maximizing effort to produce certain task outcomes with AI assistance. We find that incorporating endogeneity in skill development or AI unreliability can induce a productivity paradox: increased levels of AI assistance may degrade productivity, leading to potentially significant shortfalls. We construct interpretable measures that characterize when the productivity paradox occurs. Moreover, we examine the long-term distributional effect of AI on skill, and demonstrate that skill polarization can emerge in steady state. We identify an effort-skill non-monotonicity condition under which skill polarization emerges.
Computer Science and Game Theory (cs.GT); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Theoretical Economics (econ.TH)
arXiv:2605.11350 [cs.GT]
(or arXiv:2605.11350v2 [cs.GT] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.11350 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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