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This paper advances Bayesian inference by replacing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo methods with conditional flow matching, enabling amortized posterior sampling for PDE-based inverse problems. The authors provide rigorous accuracy estimates in total-variation and Kullback-Leibler distances and introduce a hybrid Metropolization approach to ensure asymptotic exactness. These developments significantly reduce online computational costs while maintaining statistical rigor in complex parameter estimation tasks.
Flow Matching for Fast Posterior Sampling in Bayesian Inverse Problems
arXiv:2610.02377v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sampling from the posterior is the central task of computational Bayesian inverse problems. The standard workhorse in Bayesian inference - Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) - is sequential, yields correlated samples, and must be rerun for each observation. Conditional flow matching offers an amortized alternative: a transport map, trained once on joint samples of parameter and data, that yields independent approximate posterior samples for any observation at negligible online cost, without new likelihood evaluations. We give a careful, MCMC-literate assessment of flow matching for PDE-based inverse problems with function-valued parameters. Exploiting the flow's tractable density, we derive computable accuracy estimates of the underlying approximate posterior in total-variation distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence and, moreover, propose a hybrid sampler that is asymptotically exact by Metropolization. We validate the accuracy estimates and demonstrate the amortization in several numerical examples, including electrical impedance tomography and a likelihood-free Lotka-Volterra model.
Abstract:Sampling from the posterior is the central task of computational Bayesian inverse problems. The standard workhorse in Bayesian inference - Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) - is sequential, yields correlated samples, and must be rerun for each observation. Conditional flow matching offers an amortized alternative: a transport map, trained once on joint samples of parameter and data, that yields independent approximate posterior samples for any observation at negligible online cost, without new likelihood evaluations. We give a careful, MCMC-literate assessment of flow matching for PDE-based inverse problems with function-valued parameters. Exploiting the flow's tractable density, we derive computable accuracy estimates of the underlying approximate posterior in total-variation distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence and, moreover, propose a hybrid sampler that is asymptotically exact by Metropolization. We validate the accuracy estimates and demonstrate the amortization in several numerical examples, including electrical impedance tomography and a likelihood-free Lotka-Volterra model.
Numerical Analysis (math.NA); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computation (stat.CO)
arXiv:2610.02377 [math.NA]
(or arXiv:2610.02377v1 [math.NA] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02377 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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