Domain-Adapted Diffusion Models for Conditional Independence Testing

arXiv:2609.33490v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional independence (CI) is a fundamental concept in statistics and machine learning. Recent advances in conditional generative modeling provide flexible tools for generative-model-based CI tests, which rely on an estimated conditional distribution to generate randomized samples. However, errors in estimating this distribution accumulate in existing Type I error bounds, and consistency of the generative estimator alone does not guarantee asymptotic Type I error control. To address this limitation, we formulate conditional generative modeling as a domain adaptation problem and leverage auxiliary data from multiple source domains to improve estimation in the target CI testing domain. We propose Domain-Adapted Diffusion (DA-Diff), a multi-source domain adaptation framework for conditional diffusion models based on weighted empirical risk minimization over both target and source domains. We establish the convergence rate of DA-Diff and show how transferable source data can improve target-domain estimation through an increased effective sample size while controlling transfer bias. Building on DA-Diff, we further propose Domain-Adapted Conditional Independence Testing (DA-CIT) and show that its Type I error satisfies $P(p \leq \alpha) \leq \alpha + o(1)$. Experiments demonstrate that DA-Diff improved conditional generation quality compared with transfer-learning diffusion baselines, while DA-CIT provides strong Type I error control and competitive power.

Abstract:Conditional independence (CI) is a fundamental concept in statistics and machine learning. Recent advances in conditional generative modeling provide flexible tools for generative-model-based CI tests, which rely on an estimated conditional distribution to generate randomized samples. However, errors in estimating this distribution accumulate in existing Type I error bounds, and consistency of the generative estimator alone does not guarantee asymptotic Type I error control. To address this limitation, we formulate conditional generative modeling as a domain adaptation problem and leverage auxiliary data from multiple source domains to improve estimation in the target CI testing domain. We propose Domain-Adapted Diffusion (DA-Diff), a multi-source domain adaptation framework for conditional diffusion models based on weighted empirical risk minimization over both target and source domains. We establish the convergence rate of DA-Diff and show how transferable source data can improve target-domain estimation through an increased effective sample size while controlling transfer bias. Building on DA-Diff, we further propose Domain-Adapted Conditional Independence Testing (DA-CIT) and show that its Type I error satisfies $P(p \leq \alpha) \leq \alpha + o(1)$. Experiments demonstrate that DA-Diff improved conditional generation quality compared with transfer-learning diffusion baselines, while DA-CIT provides strong Type I error control and competitive power.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.33490 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2609.33490v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.33490 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Domain-Adapted Diffusion Models for Conditional Independence Testing

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