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This research advances machine learning by rigorously separating epistemic uncertainty from aleatoric noise in facial age estimation tasks using Bayesian Neural Networks. The study provides critical insights into how model confidence scales with training data size while inherent perceptual variability remains constant, offering a robust framework for reliability assessment in computer vision applications.
Disentangling Model and Human Data Uncertainty in Apparent Facial Age Estimation
arXiv:2607.16378v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating the apparent age of individuals from facial images is challenging due to the subjective nature of perception and the inherent variability of the data. We investigate the role of uncertainty estimation, attributing uncertainty jointly to a lack of knowledge (epistemic) or inherent noise/chance (aleatoric). Leveraging the APPA-REAL dataset, we train Bayesian Neural Networks on datasets of varying sizes using three BNN approximations: MC-DropConnect, Flipout, and Deep Ensembles using supervision on human aleatoric uncertainty available in the APPA-REAL dataset. Each model outputs both the predicted apparent age and the amount of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Our results confirm the hypothesis that the inherent aleatoric uncertainty remains stable across dataset sizes, while epistemic uncertainty increases as training data decreases. These findings demonstrate that different sources of uncertainty can be quantified in face age estimation.
Abstract:Estimating the apparent age of individuals from facial images is challenging due to the subjective nature of perception and the inherent variability of the data. We investigate the role of uncertainty estimation, attributing uncertainty jointly to a lack of knowledge (epistemic) or inherent noise/chance (aleatoric). Leveraging the APPA-REAL dataset, we train Bayesian Neural Networks on datasets of varying sizes using three BNN approximations: MC-DropConnect, Flipout, and Deep Ensembles using supervision on human aleatoric uncertainty available in the APPA-REAL dataset. Each model outputs both the predicted apparent age and the amount of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Our results confirm the hypothesis that the inherent aleatoric uncertainty remains stable across dataset sizes, while epistemic uncertainty increases as training data decreases. These findings demonstrate that different sources of uncertainty can be quantified in face age estimation.
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2607.16378 [cs.CV]
(or arXiv:2607.16378v1 [cs.CV] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.16378 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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