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This research introduces a scalable diagnostic framework using order-statistics expressivity scores and effective rank to evaluate quantum reservoir computing without exponential resource costs. The method validates performance on IBM hardware and distinguishes between intrinsic expressivity and usable predictive information, addressing a critical bottleneck in non-trainable quantum machine learning architectures.
Diagnosing quantum reservoirs at scale based on expressivity and coverage
arXiv:2607.09445v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Quantum reservoirs offer a hardware-friendly route to quantum machine learning, replacing trainable circuits with fixed random dynamics and a classical readout. Because the reservoir is not optimized, performance depends entirely on the choice of reservoir family, yet existing diagnostics demand resources that grow exponentially with system size. We introduce a scalable, hardware-agnostic framework built on two complementary quantities. The first is a task-independent order-statistics (ORS) expressivity score, which compares only the largest output probabilities of a reservoir ensemble against an analytical Haar baseline. It never reconstructs the full output distribution, is cost-independent of Hilbert-space dimension, and admits a closed-form depolarizing noise correction, making it directly usable on hardware. The second is the task-dependent effective rank $R_{\mathrm{eff}}$ of the feature matrix, which measures how much input-dependent information reaches the readout. We validate the ORS score against established complexity diagnostics and confirm it remains informative under simulated noise and on IBM quantum hardware. Across synthetic and real quantum extreme learning machine and quantum reservoir computing benchmarks, ORS captures the intrinsic expressivity hierarchy of reservoir families while $R_{\mathrm{eff}}$ determines when that expressivity becomes usable predictive information.
Abstract:Quantum reservoirs offer a hardware-friendly route to quantum machine learning, replacing trainable circuits with fixed random dynamics and a classical readout. Because the reservoir is not optimized, performance depends entirely on the choice of reservoir family, yet existing diagnostics demand resources that grow exponentially with system size. We introduce a scalable, hardware-agnostic framework built on two complementary quantities. The first is a task-independent order-statistics (ORS) expressivity score, which compares only the largest output probabilities of a reservoir ensemble against an analytical Haar baseline. It never reconstructs the full output distribution, is cost-independent of Hilbert-space dimension, and admits a closed-form depolarizing noise correction, making it directly usable on hardware. The second is the task-dependent effective rank $R_{\mathrm{eff}}$ of the feature matrix, which measures how much input-dependent information reaches the readout. We validate the ORS score against established complexity diagnostics and confirm it remains informative under simulated noise and on IBM quantum hardware. Across synthetic and real quantum extreme learning machine and quantum reservoir computing benchmarks, ORS captures the intrinsic expressivity hierarchy of reservoir families while $R_{\mathrm{eff}}$ determines when that expressivity becomes usable predictive information.
arXiv:2607.09445 [quant-ph]
(or arXiv:2607.09445v2 [quant-ph] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.09445 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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