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This research introduces $D^{2}R^{2}$, a discrete diffusion framework that models the sequential order of gene expression changes during single-cell perturbations rather than treating them as simultaneous events. By integrating regulatory networks to guide generation policies and optimizing ordering via reinforcement learning, the method achieves superior predictive accuracy on benchmark datasets while offering greater biological interpretability compared to random or uncertainty-based heuristics. The work establishes that modeling temporal dynamics in transcriptomic responses is a critical advancement for virtual-cell modeling and functional genomics.
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$D^{2}R^{2}$: Discrete Diffusion with Regulation Reinforcement for Single-Cell Perturbation Prediction

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arXiv:2608.15288v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting single-cell transcriptomic responses to genetic perturbations is central to functional genomics and virtual-cell modeling. Existing approaches, however, typically predict an entire expression profile as a whole, leaving the order in which individual gene responses are generated unmodeled. To address this problem, we introduce \textbf{$D^{2}R^{2}$} (\textbf{D}iscrete \textbf{D}iffusion with \textbf{R}egulation \textbf{R}einforcement), which reformulates perturbation prediction as regulation-guided gene-wise progressive generation. A Masked Discrete Diffusion Model represents expression as ordinal tokens and reconstructs a fully masked profile step by step, allowing generated gene responses to condition those that remain masked. A Regulatory Policy Module initializes the generation policy from a gene regulatory network inferred from control cells and adapts it to the perturbation and current partially generated state. Then, group-relative policy optimization refines only the ordering policy using final perturbation-effect agreement as reward. Across Norman19 and VCC-H1, $D^{2}R^{2}$ achieves the best performance on all five metrics on Norman19 and remains competitive on H1. Controlled ablations holding the generator and generation budget fixed show that biological-prior ordering improves over random ordering and is more reliable than uncertainty-based heuristics, whereas reversing the biological-prior ordering degrades every metric. Biological analyses further show that the refined policy prioritizes regulatory genes early while promoting perturbation-specific transcription factors and responsive genes. These results establish gene generation order as an effective, controllable, and biologically interpretable dimension of single-cell perturbation prediction.

Abstract:Predicting single-cell transcriptomic responses to genetic perturbations is central to functional genomics and virtual-cell modeling. Existing approaches, however, typically predict an entire expression profile as a whole, leaving the order in which individual gene responses are generated unmodeled. To address this problem, we introduce \textbf{$D^{2}R^{2}$} (\textbf{D}iscrete \textbf{D}iffusion with \textbf{R}egulation \textbf{R}einforcement), which reformulates perturbation prediction as regulation-guided gene-wise progressive generation. A Masked Discrete Diffusion Model represents expression as ordinal tokens and reconstructs a fully masked profile step by step, allowing generated gene responses to condition those that remain masked. A Regulatory Policy Module initializes the generation policy from a gene regulatory network inferred from control cells and adapts it to the perturbation and current partially generated state. Then, group-relative policy optimization refines only the ordering policy using final perturbation-effect agreement as reward. Across Norman19 and VCC-H1, $D^{2}R^{2}$ achieves the best performance on all five metrics on Norman19 and remains competitive on H1. Controlled ablations holding the generator and generation budget fixed show that biological-prior ordering improves over random ordering and is more reliable than uncertainty-based heuristics, whereas reversing the biological-prior ordering degrades every metric. Biological analyses further show that the refined policy prioritizes regulatory genes early while promoting perturbation-specific transcription factors and responsive genes. These results establish gene generation order as an effective, controllable, and biologically interpretable dimension of single-cell perturbation prediction.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2608.15288 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2608.15288v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.15288 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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