Convergence analysis of a family of Zermelo-type iterations for the Bradley--Terry model

Abstract:Zermelo's algorithm is a classical method for computing the maximum likelihood estimator in the Bradley--Terry (BT) model, but its convergence can be slow in practice. To accelerate computation, Newman introduced a family of Zermelo-type fixed-point iterations parameterized by $\alpha$, with Zermelo's algorithm recovered at $\alpha=1$. Empirical evidence suggests that the choice $\alpha=0$ often converges substantially faster, making it a promising alternative, yet the mechanism underlying this acceleration remains elusive. This paper provides theoretical insight into this phenomenon through a systematic local convergence analysis. We derive closed-form expressions for local convergence factors under synchronous and asynchronous updates and analyze their dependence on $\alpha$ via spectral analysis of the associated Jacobian matrices. For synchronous updates, we show that the algorithm may fail to converge when $\alpha<1$, and its local convergence factor is quasi-convex in $\alpha$ under the population BT model. In contrast, asynchronous updates are always locally convergent, and their local convergence factor is provably monotonically increasing in $\alpha$ under the population BT model of consistently ordered bipartite comparison graphs, establishing the optimality of $\alpha=0$ in this setting. We further establish asymptotic approximation results for the population convergence factors under the BT model, justifying their practical relevance. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets confirm the theory. Our analysis complements existing convergence results and shows that the acceleration of $\alpha=0$ arises not only from the parameter choice but, more importantly, from the use of asynchronous updates.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Numerical Analysis (math.NA); Computation (stat.CO)

arXiv:2607.22221 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2607.22221v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.22221 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.