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This arXiv preprint scores a Qwen3-8B model's errors on a 400-step ledger task by component, rather than by end-task success alone. Its main findings are that duplicate-recognition errors rise late in long episodes, and that irrelevant inserted content reliably breaks the running counter across 20 seeds. The authors report pre-registered follow-ups, with the caveat that some claims, such as whether a single reminder suffices, were not conclusive. For readers evaluating long-context agents, the useful point is that aggregate error metrics can hide which component is failing.
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Context Injection and Long-Horizon Reliability: Separating Duplicate Recognition, Local Processing, and Counter Tracking

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arXiv:2610.20633v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon failures of language models are usually measured as end-task success or as a horizon length. We instead score, step by step, three components of a 400-step ledger task in which every step is easy in isolation and the model's own answers are re-injected into its context: recognising a record already seen 5 to 300 steps earlier, processing the current record locally, and writing a counter incremented at every step. On Qwen3-8B (non-thinking, 20 seeds, replicated on a second machine and backend), with every step scored component by component, two results hold. First, duplicate-recognition errors rise late in the episode -- from 0.0019 to 0.011 per step at risk across step 200 -- while the counter makes no error in 8,000 steps and local processing is descriptively stable; the rise combines long-distance recall errors and rising false alarms. Second, a block of irrelevant content inserted before each step makes the counter fail in 20 of 20 seeds on each machine, against none without it, while its effect on local processing is much smaller and not distinguishable from none. Three pre-registered follow-ups probe the counter. Its value depends on the value present in the response history: a corrupted value persists without correction in every seed, and an exact external reminder, repeated before each message, re-aligns it within one to two steps. Under the irrelevant block, no counter error was observed when an exact compact reminder of the state, supplied externally by an oracle, preceded each message (0 of 20 seeds with an error, against 15 without it), and this reminder outperformed a length-matched neutral text; whether a single reminder suffices was not conclusive, and the absence of damage to the other components was not established. An aggregate or exclusive error classification can hide the difference we report.

Abstract:Long-horizon failures of language models are usually measured as end-task success or as a horizon length. We instead score, step by step, three components of a 400-step ledger task in which every step is easy in isolation and the model's own answers are re-injected into its context: recognising a record already seen 5 to 300 steps earlier, processing the current record locally, and writing a counter incremented at every step. On Qwen3-8B (non-thinking, 20 seeds, replicated on a second machine and backend), with every step scored component by component, two results hold. First, duplicate-recognition errors rise late in the episode -- from 0.0019 to 0.011 per step at risk across step 200 -- while the counter makes no error in 8,000 steps and local processing is descriptively stable; the rise combines long-distance recall errors and rising false alarms. Second, a block of irrelevant content inserted before each step makes the counter fail in 20 of 20 seeds on each machine, against none without it, while its effect on local processing is much smaller and not distinguishable from none. Three pre-registered follow-ups probe the counter. Its value depends on the value present in the response history: a corrupted value persists without correction in every seed, and an exact external reminder, repeated before each message, re-aligns it within one to two steps. Under the irrelevant block, no counter error was observed when an exact compact reminder of the state, supplied externally by an oracle, preceded each message (0 of 20 seeds with an error, against 15 without it), and this reminder outperformed a length-matched neutral text; whether a single reminder suffices was not conclusive, and the absence of damage to the other components was not established. An aggregate or exclusive error classification can hide the difference we report.

17 pages, 5 figures. Code, data and reproduction script: this https URL (tag v1.0-arxiv)

Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2610.20633 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2610.20633v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.20633 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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