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This research introduces Counterfactual Importance Distribution (CID), a post-hoc method that quantifies feature importance by analyzing the dissimilarity between positive and negative counterfactual distributions. By grounding its metric in rigorous mathematical properties, CID addresses the lack of definitive ground truths in current explainability techniques and demonstrates superior faithfulness on standard metrics. The work advances local interpretability by offering a more robust framework for validating model decision-making processes without relying on arbitrary baselines.
CID: Measuring Feature Importance Through Counterfactual Distributions
arXiv:2511.15371v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Assessing the importance of individual features in Machine Learning is critical to understand the model's decision-making process. While numerous methods exist, the lack of a definitive ground truth for comparison highlights the need for alternative, well-founded measures. This paper introduces a novel post-hoc local feature importance method called Counterfactual Importance Distribution (CID). We generate two sets of positive and negative counterfactuals, model their distributions using Kernel Density Estimation, and rank features based on a distributional dissimilarity measure. This measure, grounded in a rigorous mathematical framework, satisfies key properties required to function as a valid metric. We showcase the effectiveness of our method by comparing with well-established local feature importance explainers. Our method not only offers complementary perspectives to existing approaches, but also improves performance on faithfulness metrics (both for comprehensiveness and sufficiency), resulting in more faithful explanations of the system. These results highlight its potential as a valuable tool for model analysis. Link to repository: https://github.com/EddieConti/CID
Abstract:Assessing the importance of individual features in Machine Learning is critical to understand the model's decision-making process. While numerous methods exist, the lack of a definitive ground truth for comparison highlights the need for alternative, well-founded measures. This paper introduces a novel post-hoc local feature importance method called Counterfactual Importance Distribution (CID). We generate two sets of positive and negative counterfactuals, model their distributions using Kernel Density Estimation, and rank features based on a distributional dissimilarity measure. This measure, grounded in a rigorous mathematical framework, satisfies key properties required to function as a valid metric. We showcase the effectiveness of our method by comparing with well-established local feature importance explainers. Our method not only offers complementary perspectives to existing approaches, but also improves performance on faithfulness metrics (both for comprehensiveness and sufficiency), resulting in more faithful explanations of the system. These results highlight its potential as a valuable tool for model analysis. Link to repository: this https URL
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2511.15371 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2511.15371v3 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2511.15371 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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