Beyond Endpoint Scores: Time- and Capacity-Conditioned Evaluation of Continual Knowledge Updating

Abstract:Continual knowledge-updating methods are often declared superior from one final checkpoint and one conventional adapter rank. We show that this can be insufficient to identify the better operating point. Holding a periodic hierarchy fixed, we compare it with cumulative replay over a 24-month Wikidata stream while varying evaluation month, replay LoRA rank, and query formulation. The apparent winner changes across this region: on Qwen2.5-1.5B, the hierarchy's 5.0-point advantage over rank-8 replay becomes an 11.6-point deficit against rank-72 replay, and at high ranks a consolidation-aligned endpoint can suggest a tie while time-averaged replay leads by 9-13 points. The same rank-conditioned reversal appears on Llama-3.2-1B and held-out paraphrases. These results show that method ranking in continual updating can depend jointly on when performance is measured and how much replay-side adaptation capacity the baseline receives. We therefore propose reporting trajectories and capacity sweeps, and declaring a robust winner only when the ordering is stable across the evaluation region; otherwise, comparisons should report winner regions and retention-stability-cost frontiers. Under this protocol, the periodic hierarchy is a lower-update-cost operating point, not a quality winner.

13 pages, 4 figures. Extended preprint

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.03900 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.03900v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.03900 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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