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This research addresses the challenge of best arm identification in stochastic environments where reward means shift adversarially over time, a scenario where standard algorithms like Track-and-Stop fail. The authors introduce Importance Weights for Shifting Means (ISM), demonstrating through theoretical bounds and empirical evaluation that it maintains high-probability correctness with optimal sample complexity. This work advances the robustness of multi-armed bandit frameworks against non-stationary perturbations, which is critical for deploying AI systems in dynamic real-world settings.
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Best Arm Identification for Bandits with Shifting Means

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arXiv:2610.10488v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the best arm identification problem in a stochastic environment with a novel form of adversarial perturbations, which we coin Shifting Means. While classically the mean rewards of the $K$ arms are stable in time, in Shifting Means only the gaps $\boldsymbol{\Delta}$ between mean rewards are stable, while their common shift may be determined adversarially in each round. The objective of the learner is to identify the best arm with high probability while minimizing sample complexity (the fixed confidence setting). Handling shifts requires new tools: we show that algorithms employing a Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) stopping rule, including the popular Track-and-Stop, fail under time-varying shifts. Instead, we propose Importance Weights for Shifting Means ($\mathsf{ISM}$). Assuming means bounded by $U$ and $\sigma^2$-sub-Gaussian rewards, we show $\mathsf{ISM}$ to be $\delta$-correct and to enjoy a sample complexity bound of order $K (\sigma^2 + U^2) \Delta_{\min}^{-2} \ln \frac{1}{\delta}$. We also present a matching (up to constant factors) worst-case lower bound and evaluate our results empirically.

Abstract:We study the best arm identification problem in a stochastic environment with a novel form of adversarial perturbations, which we coin Shifting Means. While classically the mean rewards of the $K$ arms are stable in time, in Shifting Means only the gaps $\boldsymbol{\Delta}$ between mean rewards are stable, while their common shift may be determined adversarially in each round. The objective of the learner is to identify the best arm with high probability while minimizing sample complexity (the fixed confidence setting). Handling shifts requires new tools: we show that algorithms employing a Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) stopping rule, including the popular Track-and-Stop, fail under time-varying shifts. Instead, we propose Importance Weights for Shifting Means ($\mathsf{ISM}$). Assuming means bounded by $U$ and $\sigma^2$-sub-Gaussian rewards, we show $\mathsf{ISM}$ to be $\delta$-correct and to enjoy a sample complexity bound of order $K (\sigma^2 + U^2) \Delta_{\min}^{-2} \ln \frac{1}{\delta}$. We also present a matching (up to constant factors) worst-case lower bound and evaluate our results empirically.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.10488 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2610.10488v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.10488 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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