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Aurora's roadmap outlines a transition from operating a limited fleet to licensing autonomous software via a driver-as-a-service model, aiming to scale from 200 units in 2026 to over 30,000 by 2030. While the financial market remains skeptical given recent stock declines, the company argues that its volume targets are achievable within the broader commercial trucking market rather than being purely aspirational. The core value proposition shifts from owning assets to monetizing the underlying autonomy stack through per-mile subscriptions.
Aurora CFO says 30,000 driverless trucks by 2030 isn’t as far-fetched as it sounds

Self-driving truck company Aurora laid out an audacious plan for 2030. Its CFO says its targets aren't aspirational.
Autonomous vehicle technology company Aurora told investors last week that it expects to have more than 30,000 self-driving trucks on the road generating $5 billion in annual revenue by the end of 2030 — an audacious plan considering it expects to end 2026 with just 200 driverless trucks and an $80 million revenue run rate. CFO David Maday contends the seemingly outsized target isn’t as large or as out of…
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