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This paper is a theoretical machine learning study of policy gradient methods, showing that dividing each trajectory's score by its length can reverse the sign of the expected update and reduce task success in some settings. It also proposes a third-order U-statistic estimator that is unbiased for the first-order return change, while a common same-sample plug-in estimator can have the wrong sign for small batches. Practitioners who length-normalize rewards or log-probabilities in RL fine-tuning should note that the result is a local, expected-update analysis on constructed examples, not a general claim about training performance.
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Ascent Conditions for Length-Normalized Single-Rollout Policy Updates

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arXiv:2610.14670v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dividing each trajectory's score contribution by its realized length can change the direction of a reward-centered policy update. In a finite trajectory model, we derive an exact ascent threshold for a three-outcome softmax policy and exhibit a binary-reward example in which the expected Euclidean update decreases task success. Natural-gradient ascent holds for fully controllable outcome distributions with deterministic binary labels, but can fail under a one-parameter restriction. A third-order U-statistic estimates the first-order return change without bias from independent current-policy trajectories, one per request. In the example, a same-sample plug-in estimator instead has the opposite sign in expectation for batch sizes two through forty-nine. Exact policy-grid enumeration confirms the local sign reversal. In a branching process, length-normalized learning initially loses return, then recovers and exceeds the unnormalized comparator. The analysis concerns the expected update field at the current policy.

Abstract:Dividing each trajectory's score contribution by its realized length can change the direction of a reward-centered policy update. In a finite trajectory model, we derive an exact ascent threshold for a three-outcome softmax policy and exhibit a binary-reward example in which the expected Euclidean update decreases task success. Natural-gradient ascent holds for fully controllable outcome distributions with deterministic binary labels, but can fail under a one-parameter restriction. A third-order U-statistic estimates the first-order return change without bias from independent current-policy trajectories, one per request. In the example, a same-sample plug-in estimator instead has the opposite sign in expectation for batch sizes two through forty-nine. Exact policy-grid enumeration confirms the local sign reversal. In a branching process, length-normalized learning initially loses return, then recovers and exceeds the unnormalized comparator. The analysis concerns the expected update field at the current policy.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.14670 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.14670v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.14670 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

reproducibility/README.md

reproducibility/Results/calibration.csv

reproducibility/Results/constant_32_L.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_32_M.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_32_P.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_32_U.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_64_L.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_64_M.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_64_P.npy

reproducibility/Results/constant_64_U.npy

reproducibility/Results/diagnostic.csv

reproducibility/Results/expected_dynamics.csv

reproducibility/Results/experiment_report.json

reproducibility/Results/grid_all.csv

reproducibility/Results/grid_summary.csv

reproducibility/Results/initial_directions.csv

reproducibility/Results/paired_differences.csv

reproducibility/Results/rational_example.json

reproducibility/Results/seed_results.csv

reproducibility/Results/sensitivity_seed_results.csv

reproducibility/Results/sensitivity_summary.csv

reproducibility/Results/summary.csv

reproducibility/Results/variable_32_L.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_32_M.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_32_P.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_32_U.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_64_L.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_64_M.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_64_P.npy

reproducibility/Results/variable_64_U.npy

reproducibility/SHA256.json

reproducibility/Scripts/build_outputs.py

reproducibility/Scripts/diagnostic.py

reproducibility/Scripts/sensitivity.py

reproducibility/Scripts/study.py

reproducibility/Validation/diagnostic_checks.json

reproducibility/Validation/sensitivity_checks.json

reproducibility/Validation/study_checks.json

reproducibility/Validation/theory_checks.json

reproducibility/Validation/theory_checks.py

reproducibility/requirements.txt

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