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This study applies natural language processing to analyze sentiment and action-oriented discourse in climate campaigns, revealing a divergence where increased happiness metrics coincide with decreased calls for collective action. By leveraging large-scale social media data, the research offers new insights into how well-being signals interact with mobilization efforts in environmental advocacy.
AI-inferred expressed well-being and collective-action discourse in climate-change campaigns on X
arXiv:2609.22096v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Climate campaigns are often evaluated through attention and mobilization, but less is known about the well-being language that accompanies them. Whether campaign periods alter positive affect and hope, and whether happiness aligns with action language, remains unresolved. We analysed 364,118 public Twitter/X posts from Earth Day, Earth Hour, Global Climate Action Day and World Environment Day in 19 occurrence-years, using 30-day pre-event, event and post-event windows. A versioned weighted lexical model estimated happiness, future-oriented hope, collective capability, distress and action language. Event-period happiness prevalence was 9.02 percentage points higher than the pre-event baseline , whereas paired occurrence contrasts showed a 10.75-point decline in action language, indicating a happiness--action divergence. The happiness estimate remained positive across composition and text-deduplication checks, but was less precise under a 19-cluster wild bootstrap. Happier source posts had lower odds of an observed matched retweet cascade.
Abstract:Climate campaigns are often evaluated through attention and mobilization, but less is known about the well-being language that accompanies them. Whether campaign periods alter positive affect and hope, and whether happiness aligns with action language, remains unresolved. We analysed 364,118 public Twitter/X posts from Earth Day, Earth Hour, Global Climate Action Day and World Environment Day in 19 occurrence-years, using 30-day pre-event, event and post-event windows. A versioned weighted lexical model estimated happiness, future-oriented hope, collective capability, distress and action language. Event-period happiness prevalence was 9.02 percentage points higher than the pre-event baseline , whereas paired occurrence contrasts showed a 10.75-point decline in action language, indicating a happiness--action divergence. The happiness estimate remained positive across composition and text-deduplication checks, but was less precise under a 19-cluster wild bootstrap. Happier source posts had lower odds of an observed matched retweet cascade.
Computation and Language (cs.CL); Computers and Society (cs.CY)
arXiv:2609.22096 [cs.CL]
(or arXiv:2609.22096v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.22096 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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