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This research establishes a rigorous boundary for quantum advantage by proving that noisy, geometrically local circuits can be efficiently simulated classically once noise accumulates beyond a specific depth threshold. By mapping circuit outputs to polymer models in statistical mechanics, the authors demonstrate that classical sampling becomes polynomial-time feasible without requiring logarithmic growth in circuit depth relative to system size. This finding clarifies the practical limits of quantum supremacy claims in the presence of realistic depolarizing noise.
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A polynomial-time classical sampler for noisy quantum circuits from statistical mechanics

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arXiv:2610.00548v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Developing classical simulation algorithms for noisy quantum circuits is essential to delineating the limits of quantum advantage. Existing classical sampling approaches for general circuits require circuit depths to grow logarithmically with system size, so that noise drives the global output state close to a trivial state. Here we show that local accumulation of noise at a depth independent of system size is already sufficient. Specifically, we prove that any geometrically local circuit composed of unital operations and interspersed with single-qubit depolarizing noise of strength $p$ after $\Omega(p^{-1} \log p^{-1})$ depth can be approximately sampled from a polynomial-time classical computer. Our proof maps the output state of the circuit to a polymer model in statistical mechanics, and combines a convergent cluster expansion with hypercontractivity of the depolarizing channel.

Abstract:Developing classical simulation algorithms for noisy quantum circuits is essential to delineating the limits of quantum advantage. Existing classical sampling approaches for general circuits require circuit depths to grow logarithmically with system size, so that noise drives the global output state close to a trivial state. Here we show that local accumulation of noise at a depth independent of system size is already sufficient. Specifically, we prove that any geometrically local circuit composed of unital operations and interspersed with single-qubit depolarizing noise of strength $p$ after $\Omega(p^{-1} \log p^{-1})$ depth can be approximately sampled from a polynomial-time classical computer. Our proof maps the output state of the circuit to a polymer model in statistical mechanics, and combines a convergent cluster expansion with hypercontractivity of the depolarizing channel.

arXiv:2610.00548 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2610.00548v1 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.00548 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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