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This research presents a novel Bayesian framework for Gaussian Process modeling that integrates input dimension reduction directly into the inference process, addressing high-dimensional challenges common in computational science. By leveraging hierarchical models on the Stiefel manifold and Deep Gaussian Processes, it offers improved predictive performance and uncertainty quantification despite higher computational costs compared to standard two-stage methods.
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A Bayesian Framework for Built-in Input Dimension Reduction for Gaussian Process Modeling

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arXiv:2607.19498v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Gaussian process (GP) modeling is widely used in computational science and engineering. However, fitting a GP to high-dimensional inputs remains challenging due to the curse of dimensionality. While various methods have been proposed to reduce input dimensionality, they typically follow a two-stage approach, performing dimension reduction and GP fitting separately. We introduce a Bayesian framework that seamlessly integrates dimensionality reduction with GP modeling and inference. Our approach, built on a hierarchical Bayesian model with priors on the Stiefel manifold, enforces orthonormality on the projection matrix and enables posterior inference via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with geodesic flow. Additionally, we extend this framework by incorporating Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) with built-in dimension reduction, providing a more flexible and powerful tool for complex datasets. Through extensive numerical studies, we demonstrate that while the proposed Bayesian method incurs higher computational costs, it improves predictive performance and uncertainty quantification, providing a principled and robust alternative to existing methods.

Abstract:Gaussian process (GP) modeling is widely used in computational science and engineering. However, fitting a GP to high-dimensional inputs remains challenging due to the curse of dimensionality. While various methods have been proposed to reduce input dimensionality, they typically follow a two-stage approach, performing dimension reduction and GP fitting separately. We introduce a Bayesian framework that seamlessly integrates dimensionality reduction with GP modeling and inference. Our approach, built on a hierarchical Bayesian model with priors on the Stiefel manifold, enforces orthonormality on the projection matrix and enables posterior inference via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with geodesic flow. Additionally, we extend this framework by incorporating Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) with built-in dimension reduction, providing a more flexible and powerful tool for complex datasets. Through extensive numerical studies, we demonstrate that while the proposed Bayesian method incurs higher computational costs, it improves predictive performance and uncertainty quantification, providing a principled and robust alternative to existing methods.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Probability (math.PR); Applications (stat.AP); Computation (stat.CO); Methodology (stat.ME)

arXiv:2607.19498 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2607.19498v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.19498 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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